Who Pays — what the tariffs are costing Americans

Source: https://thetariffcost.com/

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And Canada is taxing you back

What Canada is taxing

Canada’s tax hits American exports — the things American workers grow and build. Right now the list is steel and almost nothing else. In September it adds food. Everything on the list is taxed 25% today. September brings in a 50% rate and moves **hundreds of** American steel and aluminum products up to it.

Tariff lines by product category

Tariff lines by rate, from September 8

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Every American product on Canada's list, all — of them. Filter it, or search for something specific.

Schedule Category Rate Search

| Tariff item | Product | Category | Rate | Applies | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |

These numbers are public. Almost nobody has seen them. If you know someone who should, send them the link.

Method

**Almost every number on this page was counted, not guessed.** Nothing here is a prediction. There are two exceptions. One is _What tariffs cost your household_. It needs a guess about price tags that no data can give us. The other is the money paid on American-made aluminum in _Start with aluminum_. We worked that out from a measured price and a measured weight instead of counting it directly. Both are labelled everywhere they show up, and both are explained in full below. Everywhere else, if the only way to answer a question was to guess, we say so and leave the number out.

Six public datasets, all free, all citable:

- **Duty actually collected** on Canadian goods, and the value it was charged on — U.S. Census Bureau, `timeseries/intltrade/imports` (`CAL_DUT_YR`, `CON_VAL_YR`).

- **U.S. exports to Canada by state and commodity** — U.S. Census Bureau, `exports/statehs`.

- **U.S. exports to Canada by state and industry** — U.S. Census Bureau, `exports/statenaics`.

- **U.S. energy imports from Canada by state** — U.S. Census Bureau, `imports/statehs`, HS 2709/2710/2711/2716.

- **Household count** — U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 1-year 2024, table B11001.

- **Canada's counter-tariff list** — Department of Finance Canada, complete list of U.S. products subject to counter tariffs.

**Two taxes, two sets of people paying.** Canada’s tax is paid by Canadian importers, and it shows up in Canadian prices. On this side of the border it hurts American exporters. Those are the people who make what is on the list. Washington’s tax on Canadian goods is paid at the American border by American importers. That is the money counted in _What you have already paid_. Two different taxes, two different payers. Do not add them together.

**What this page does not tell you**, because the data cannot:

- How much of the tax on _Canadian_ goods ends up on a price tag. It has a name — pass-through — and every company decides it for itself. The Canada numbers above assume nothing about it. They are tax collected at the border, full stop. The one estimate on this page does use a pass-through rate. But that is for tariffs on all imports, not just Canada’s. See below.

- What a tariff will do to any price later on, at the pump or anywhere else.

- How many jobs are at risk. Turning export dollars into a number of jobs needs a model we do not have.

- How much of any industry’s exports get taxed. The tariff list and the industry data are filed under two different coding systems. Matching them up takes a lookup table we do not have. Guessing at one would invent a number.

Counting lines on the list tells you how wide it is. It does not tell you how much money is on it. One line can carry a billion dollars of trade, or almost none. That is why the dollar figures come from trade data instead of from the list.